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Police Tero vs Kabin United

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

Police Tero play Kabin United in the Thai FA Cup 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Police Tero averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Kabin United averaged 1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Police Tero won 1, Kabin United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 30, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Police Tero and 1.00 for Kabin United. This points to a Police Tero double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Police Tero
24%
Draws
24%
Kabin United
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Police Tero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Police Tero picked up more points recently compared to Kabin United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 23%
Kabin United Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Tero Kabin United
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 14 1
Draws 8 0
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.52 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2022 Thai FA Cup
Police Tero vs Kabin United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police Tero Compare

Top Goalscorer Phokhi J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kabin United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police Tero 51 / 100
Kabin United 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Tero Kabin United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Police Tero or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Police Tero attacking → ← attacking Kabin United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police Tero scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Kabin United let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Police Tero went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kabin United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 3
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00