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Police Tero vs Kasetsart

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Valdo
78' Event
Ablorh L.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Police Tero and Kasetsart finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Police Tero
15%
Draws
12%
Kasetsart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Police Tero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Police Tero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Police Tero taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 15%
Kasetsart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Tero Kasetsart
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.26 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Kasetsart
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Police Tero
1:3
Apr 20, 2025 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Police Tero
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Kasetsart
0:1
Aug 18, 2019 Thai League 2
Kasetsart vs Police Tero
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police Tero Compare

Top Goalscorer Valdo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kasetsart Compare

Top Goalscorer Ablorh L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police Tero 48 / 100
Kasetsart 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Tero Kasetsart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Tero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Police Tero scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Kasetsart conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Kasetsart has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Police Tero VS Kasetsart
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police Tero

(Home)
19 Sept
Khonkaen United
2 : 0
Police Tero
15 Sept
Police Tero
0 : 3
Songkhla
11 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Police Tero
06 Sept
Police Tero
1 : 0
Muang Loei Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0
Police Tero
Page 1 of 7

Kasetsart

(Away)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 2
Uttaradit FC
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)