Sport Picks
Police vs Al Merreikh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Rwanda
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Police host Al Merreikh in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Al Merreikh have shipped 0.69 goals a game lately, while Police have conceded 0.66 and scored 0.69. Head-to-head, Police have won 1 to Al Merreikh's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.76 - 0.63) back Al Merreikh to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Merreikh have won more games recently than Police.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Police | Al Merreikh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Police found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Al Merreikh conceded in 54% of 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.
Police went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Police
(Home)Al Merreikh
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Etincelles | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mukura Victory Sports | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Gorilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Sunrise | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 6 | Marines | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 7 | Amagaju | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 8 | Gasogi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Kiyovu | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 10 | Kigali FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 11 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 13 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Police | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 15 | Musanze | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Merreikh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 17 | Rayon Sport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 18 | Etoile de L'Est | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
