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Police vs AS Kigali

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Police Logo

Police

0 - 1
FT
AS Kigali Logo

AS Kigali

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AS Kigali in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Kigali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Police
35%
Draws
30%
AS Kigali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AS Kigali average 0.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Police's 0.7.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Police taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Police Clean Sheet 68%
AS Kigali Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police AS Kigali
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 16 12
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.7 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
Police vs AS Kigali
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Police
0:0
May 22, 2025 Premier League
Police vs AS Kigali
1:1
Mar 5, 2025 Peace Cup
AS Kigali vs Police
2:2
Feb 26, 2025 Peace Cup
Police vs AS Kigali
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 68 / 100
AS Kigali 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police AS Kigali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Police remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AS Kigali let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

AS Kigali lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police VS AS Kigali
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
24 May
Police
0 : 0
Kiyovu
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
09 May
Musanze
0 : 0
Police
06 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Police
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AS Kigali

(Away)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
10 May
APR
2 : 1
AS Kigali
06 May
Gorilla
2 : 1
AS Kigali
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)