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Police vs Inter Nouakchott

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Police
15%
Draws
64%
Inter Nouakchott
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Nouakchott

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Police lately — more wins on the board than Inter Nouakchott.
  • Win probability leans Police's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Police Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Nouakchott Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Inter Nouakchott
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Police vs Inter Nouakchott
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Police
1:1
May 23, 2023 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Police
3:0
Dec 16, 2022 Ligue 1
Police vs Inter Nouakchott
0:3
Jun 6, 2021 Ligue 1
Police vs Inter Nouakchott
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 50 / 100
Inter Nouakchott 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Inter Nouakchott

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Inter Nouakchott's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Inter Nouakchott registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Inter Nouakchott
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
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Inter Nouakchott

(Away)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)