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Police vs Rayon Sport

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Police and Rayon Sport finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayon Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Police
30%
Draws
28%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Rayon Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Police Clean Sheet 68%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Rayon Sport
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 14
Draws 13 16
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 0.7 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Super Cup
Rayon Sport vs Police
0:1
Mar 19, 2026 Peace Cup
Rayon Sport vs Police
1:0
Mar 12, 2026 Peace Cup
Police vs Rayon Sport
0:0
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Police vs Rayon Sport
0:1
Oct 2, 2025 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Police
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 41 / 100
Rayon Sport 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Police scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Rayon Sport has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Rayon Sport
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
29% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

Rayon Sport

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)