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Police vs US Gendarmerie

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Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between Police and US Gendarmerie finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Police
39%
Draws
30%
US Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • US Gendarmerie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Police Clean Sheet 23%
US Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police US Gendarmerie
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Super Ligue
Police vs US Gendarmerie
4:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Police
0:0
Apr 11, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs US Gendarmerie
0:0
Feb 13, 2025 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Police
1:1
May 22, 2024 Super Ligue
US Gendarmerie vs Police
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 33 / 100
US Gendarmerie 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police US Gendarmerie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Police scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

US Gendarmerie has conceded goals in 40% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Police VS US Gendarmerie
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%