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Police vs Vipers

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Kiira Road Police Arena, Kampala
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Police
30%
Draws
47%
Vipers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vipers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vipers have won more games recently than Police.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vipers taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vipers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Police Clean Sheet 21%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Vipers
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 22
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 1.4 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.49
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
Police vs Vipers
0:0
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Vipers vs Police
4:1
Mar 6, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Vipers
0:1
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League
Vipers vs Police
2:1
May 21, 2022 Premier League
Vipers vs Police
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 12 / 100
Vipers 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Vipers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vipers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Police went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vipers has conceded goals in 46% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Vipers
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
23 May
Kitara
2 : 2
Police
19 May
Police
1 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
12 May
Police
0 : 0
Vipers
06 May
Calvary
1 : 0
Police
29 Apr
Police
2 : 0
UPDF FC
Page 1 of 6

Vipers

(Away)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Mahia
0 : 1
Vipers
24 Jul
Vipers
3 : 0
Garde Republicaine
23 May
Vipers
2 : 0
Express FC
19 May
Maroons
0 : 3
Vipers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)