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Police XI vs Extension Gunners - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police XI host Extension Gunners in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Police XI have averaged 0.63 scored and 0.67 conceded recently, against Extension Gunners's 0.93 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Extension Gunners slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 4, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.00, favoring Police XI. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Police XI
20%
Draws
48%
Extension Gunners
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Extension Gunners

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Extension Gunners haven't matched Police XI's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Police XI a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Police XI Clean Sheet 20%
Extension Gunners Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police XI Extension Gunners
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Premier League
Extension Gunners vs Police XI
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Police XI vs Extension Gunners
0:0
May 31, 2023 Premier League
Extension Gunners vs Police XI
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Premier League
Police XI vs Extension Gunners
2:0
Apr 15, 2022 Premier League
Police XI vs Extension Gunners
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police XI 42 / 100
Extension Gunners 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police XI Extension Gunners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Extension Gunners let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Police XI stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Police XI scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Police XI VS Extension Gunners
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police XI

(Home)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
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Extension Gunners

(Away)
20 Sept
Township Rollers
3 : 0
Extension Gunners
05 Sept
Nico United
0 : 1
Extension Gunners
29 Aug
Extension Gunners
1 : 0
Centre Chiefs
23 May
Extension Gunners
2 : 0
Centre Chiefs
13 May
Extension Gunners
2 : 0
Nico United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonota 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
2 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
3 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
4 Nico United 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
5 Tafic FC 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
7 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
9 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Centre Chiefs 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
11 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Matebele 4 0 0 4 1:6 0
16 Prisons XI Gaborone 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)