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Police XI vs Matebele

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Police XI Logo

Police XI

1 - 1
FT
Matebele Logo

Matebele

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Police XI and Matebele finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Police XI
15%
Draws
20%
Matebele
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Police XI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Police XI come out ahead of Matebele on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Police XI's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Police XI Clean Sheet 68%
Matebele Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police XI Matebele
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.64 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Matebele vs Police XI
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Police XI vs Matebele
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Matebele vs Police XI
0:2
Mar 31, 2024 Premier League
Police XI vs Matebele
1:0
Oct 18, 2023 Premier League
Matebele vs Police XI
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police XI 68 / 100
Matebele 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police XI Matebele

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police XI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matebele has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Police XI has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Matebele lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police XI VS Matebele
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Police XI

(Home)
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
06 May
Police XI
1 : 0
Black Lions
Page 1 of 6

Matebele

(Away)
12 Sept
Enesia
1 : 0
Matebele
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)