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Police XI vs Matebele

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Police XI and Matebele finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Police XI
33%
Draws
40%
Matebele
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Matebele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Matebele come out ahead of Police XI on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Matebele's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Police XI Clean Sheet 25%
Matebele Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police XI Matebele
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Police XI vs Matebele
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Matebele vs Police XI
0:2
Mar 31, 2024 Premier League
Police XI vs Matebele
1:0
Oct 18, 2023 Premier League
Matebele vs Police XI
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police XI 29 / 100
Matebele 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police XI Matebele

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matebele has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Police XI has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Police XI scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Police XI VS Matebele
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaborone Utd30235262:1574
2Jwaneng Galaxy30178555:2359
3Sua Flamingoes30185744:3059
4Centre Chiefs30168637:1856
5Morupule301451141:3347
6Orapa United301211735:3047
7Township Rollers301361133:3345
8Nico United301012828:2542
9Tafic FC308111127:2635
10Matebele30891329:3733
11Police XI307111217:2932
12BDF XI30791430:4230
13Extension Gunners30781526:4329
14Black Lions30761717:3827
15Santa Green30642023:5822
16Calendar Stars30561919:4321