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Policia vs Benfica Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021
Policia Logo

Policia

0 - 3
FT
Benfica Logo

Benfica

Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Choi D. C.
64' Event
Cheong H.
67' Event
Ng W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Benfica in this Elite League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Policia
15%
Draws
39%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Benfica have won more games recently than Policia.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Benfica here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Policia Clean Sheet 17%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Policia Benfica
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.04 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Elite League
Policia vs Benfica
0:0
Jul 11, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Benfica
0:3
Apr 24, 2021 Elite League
Benfica vs Policia
6:0
Sep 26, 2020 Elite League
Policia vs Benfica
0:4
Jun 27, 2019 Elite League
Policia vs Benfica
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Policia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Benfica Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi D. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cheong H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Policia 31 / 100
Benfica 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Policia Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Policia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Benfica's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Benfica
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Policia

(Home)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 5

Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 18 18 0 0 115:4 54
2 Benfica 18 15 0 3 91:15 45
3 Tak Chun Ka I 18 11 2 5 29:30 35
4 Cheng Fung 18 10 0 8 40:44 30
5 Lun Lok 18 6 3 9 26:55 21
6 Sporting Macau 18 6 2 10 33:45 20
7 Policia 18 4 5 9 17:33 17
8 Casa de Portugal 18 4 4 10 22:68 16
9 Monte Carlo 18 2 6 10 14:46 12
10 Hang Sai 18 2 2 14 12:59 8
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)