Sport Picks

Macao

Elite League 2021 Centro Desportivo Olímpico - Estádio

Tak Chun Ka I

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Policia play Tak Chun Ka I in the Elite League 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Policia averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Tak Chun Ka I averaged 0.88 goals scored and 5.5 conceded. In past meetings, Policia won 0, Tak Chun Ka I won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 20, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.35 for Policia and 0.99 for Tak Chun Ka I. This points to a Policia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Policia

Draws

Tak Chun Ka I

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tak Chun Ka I demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Policia (0 avg goals).
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Policia.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Elite League 2021 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Policia Clean Sheet 20%

Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Policia	Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played	25	33
Wins	7	7
Draws	5	1
Losses	13	25
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	5.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Elite League

Policia vs Tak Chun Ka I

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Jun 13, 2021 Elite League

Policia vs Tak Chun Ka I

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Mar 13, 2021 Elite League

Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Nov 1, 2020 Elite League

Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Apr 25, 2019 Elite League

Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Policia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheong L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Kong C. H.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Li M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Policia 85 / 100

Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Policia Tak Chun Ka I

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Policia scored in 56% of their last 25 games.

Tak Chun Ka I let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Policia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tak Chun Ka I lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tak Chun Ka I

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 5.5

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 100%

0% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Must IPO	18	18	0	0	115:4	54
2	Benfica	18	15	0	3	91:15	45
3	Tak Chun Ka I	18	11	2	5	29:30	35
4	Cheng Fung	18	10	0	8	40:44	30
5	Lun Lok	18	6	3	9	26:55	21
6	Sporting Macau	18	6	2	10	33:45	20
7	Policia	18	4	5	9	17:33	17
8	Casa de Portugal	18	4	4	10	22:68	16
9	Monte Carlo	18	2	6	10	14:46	12
10	Hang Sai	18	2	2	14	12:59	8