Sport Picks
Polisi Tanzania vs Coastal Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Ushirika Stadium, Moshi 
Match Events
2'
2'
Maulid M.
23'
23'
Maulid M.
(Penalty)
48'
48'
Jabiri A.
Assist: Tariq S.
AI Match Summary
Coastal Union in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Polisi Tanzania at 1.3 per game, Coastal Union at 1.28.
- Polisi Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polisi Tanzania | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Coastal Union
1:2
Dec 26, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Coastal Union
3:3
Sep 10, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Polisi Tanzania
0:0
May 8, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Polisi Tanzania
1:0
Nov 19, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Coastal Union
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polisi Tanzania Compare
Top Goalscorer Jabiri A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Coastal Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Maulid M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polisi Tanzania 58 / 100
Coastal Union 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polisi Tanzania Coastal Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coastal Union's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Polisi Tanzania scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Polisi Tanzania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Polisi Tanzania VS Coastal Union
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Polisi Tanzania
(Home) 08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
15 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1 Azam
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 3
Coastal Union
(Away) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 11 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
