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Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya City Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tariq S.
Assist: Kunambi K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Polisi Tanzania and Mbeya City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mbeya City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Polisi Tanzania
15%
Draws
45%
Mbeya City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Polisi Tanzania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Polisi Tanzania taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polisi Tanzania Mbeya City
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.27 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya City
2:0
Feb 23, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya City
0:1
Oct 14, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania
3:1
May 15, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Polisi Tanzania
0:0
Dec 27, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tariq S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polisi Tanzania 51 / 100
Mbeya City 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polisi Tanzania Mbeya City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polisi Tanzania's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mbeya City let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Polisi Tanzania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Polisi Tanzania VS Mbeya City
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Polisi Tanzania

(Home)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Mbeya City

(Away)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0
Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)