Sport Picks
Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 
Match Events
39'
39'
Philemon J.
47'
47'
Tariq S.
59'
59'
Mpuka E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Polisi Tanzania advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polisi Tanzania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Polisi Tanzania come out ahead of Tanzania Prisons on wins alone.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Polisi Tanzania taking it.
- Polisi Tanzania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Polisi Tanzania, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polisi Tanzania | Tanzania Prisons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 16, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
1:0
Jul 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons
4:0
Feb 19, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
Oct 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
2:0
May 1, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polisi Tanzania Compare
Top Goalscorer Mpuka E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Philemon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polisi Tanzania 77 / 100
Tanzania Prisons 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polisi Tanzania Tanzania Prisons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polisi Tanzania found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Tanzania Prisons has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Polisi Tanzania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Polisi Tanzania VS Tanzania Prisons
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Polisi Tanzania
(Home) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
15 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1 Azam
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 3
Tanzania Prisons
(Away) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 7
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
24 Jun
Singida Black Stars
3 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
18 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Tanzania Prisons 0
Mbeya City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Polisi Tanzania 7
Mbeya Kwanza 1
Final
Mbeya City -
TBD -
Tanzania Prisons 1
Polisi Tanzania 4
