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Politehnica Timisoara II vs Caransebes

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Politehnica Timisoara II play Caransebes in the Liga 3 - Seria 5 2010/2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Politehnica Timisoara II averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Caransebes averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Politehnica Timisoara II won 1, Caransebes won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 11, 2012 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Politehnica Timisoara II and 0.61 for Caransebes. This points to a Politehnica Timisoara II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Politehnica Timisoara II
22%
Draws
28%
Caransebes
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Politehnica Timisoara II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Politehnica Timisoara II picked up more points recently compared to Caransebes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Politehnica Timisoara II Clean Sheet 29%
Caransebes Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Politehnica Timisoara II Caransebes
Matches Played 35 40
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 2.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Politehnica Timisoara II vs Caransebes
2:2
Oct 29, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Caransebes vs Politehnica Timisoara II
1:1
Mar 4, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Politehnica Timisoara II vs Caransebes
2:0
Aug 27, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Caransebes vs Politehnica Timisoara II
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica Timisoara II 51 / 100
Caransebes 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Politehnica Timisoara II Caransebes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Politehnica Timisoara II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Politehnica Timisoara II attacking → ← attacking Caransebes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Politehnica Timisoara II scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

Caransebes let in goals in 85% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Politehnica Timisoara II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Caransebes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 39
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Luceafarul Oradea26185354:2059
2Poli Timisoara26154746:3049
3Marmosim26129550:2245
4Caransebes26136735:2245
5Politehnica Timisoara II26125942:3641
6Corvinul Hunedoara26125939:2841
7Sebis26971023:2734
8CSM Resita26951223:3232
9Sannicolau26951228:3532
10Giarmata26871135:4131
11Gloria Arad26781131:3429
12Bihorul Beius26751426:5326
13Nuova26651527:4223
14Termo Drobeta26541718:5519