Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2009/2010

Sebis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Liga 3 - Seria 5 2009/2010 encounter between Politehnica Timisoara II and Sebis promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Politehnica Timisoara II averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in recent matches. Sebis shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Politehnica Timisoara II, 1 wins for Sebis, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 13.04.12 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.48 for Politehnica Timisoara II and 1.49 for Sebis, suggesting the primary value lies in the Politehnica Timisoara II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Politehnica Timisoara II

15%

Draws

35%

Sebis

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Politehnica Timisoara II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Politehnica Timisoara II picked up more points recently compared to Sebis.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.49 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Politehnica Timisoara II Clean Sheet 16%

Sebis Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Politehnica Timisoara II	Sebis
Matches Played	35	43
Wins	17	16
Draws	5	10
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	2.14	1.84
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.65

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

13.04.12 Liga 3 - Seria 5

Sebis vs Politehnica Timisoara II

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

23.09.11 Liga 3 - Seria 5

Politehnica Timisoara II vs Sebis

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

27.05.11 Liga 3 - Seria 5

Politehnica Timisoara II vs Sebis

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

5:1

26.11.10 Liga 3 - Seria 5

Sebis vs Politehnica Timisoara II

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

28.05.10 Liga 3 - Seria 5

Politehnica Timisoara II vs Sebis

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Politehnica Timisoara II

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sebis

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica Timisoara II 48 / 100

Sebis 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Politehnica Timisoara II Sebis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Politehnica Timisoara II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Politehnica Timisoara II 55%

Sebis 28%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Politehnica Timisoara II 48%

Sebis 37%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Politehnica Timisoara II 50%

Sebis 35%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Politehnica Timisoara II 53%

Sebis 33%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Politehnica Timisoara II 45%

Sebis 39%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Politehnica Timisoara II 57%

Sebis 40%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Politehnica Timisoara II attacking → ← attacking Sebis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Politehnica Timisoara II have found the net in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Sebis have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 43 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.20 goals per match.

Politehnica Timisoara II remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Sebis suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 58

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pandurii II	30	21	7	2	59:18	70
2	ACU Arad	30	19	7	4	43:16	64
3	Poli Timisoara	30	20	2	8	46:24	62
4	Marmosim	30	14	10	6	43:23	52
5	Sebis	30	16	3	11	49:39	51
6	Minerul Mehedinti	30	13	9	8	46:32	48
7	Jiul Rovinari	30	11	9	10	43:37	42
8	CSM Resita	30	12	5	13	38:36	41
9	Giarmata	30	12	5	13	40:47	41
10	Politehnica Timisoara II	30	11	6	13	32:36	39
11	Nuova	30	10	8	12	41:39	38
12	Gloria Arad	30	11	3	16	42:48	36
13	Ineu	30	10	2	18	31:57	32
14	Sannicolau	30	8	7	15	42:43	31
15	Muncitorul Resita	30	7	4	19	30:65	25
16	Retezatul Hateg	30	1	1	28	10:75	4