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Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub Hincesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Complexul Sportiv al Tineretului UTM, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Popescu P.
17'
Sub
Arhirii I. In: Andreiciu D.
Out: Arhirii I.
34'
Andreiciu D.

AI Match Summary

Petrocub Hincesti in this Super Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Petrocub Hincesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Politehnica UTM
20%
Draws
57%
Petrocub Hincesti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petrocub Hincesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Petrocub Hincesti lately — more wins on the board than Politehnica UTM.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Petrocub Hincesti here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 14%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Politehnica UTM Petrocub Hincesti
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.61 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub Hincesti
0:1
Aug 2, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Politehnica UTM
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Politehnica UTM
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Petrocub Hincesti
0:5
Jul 5, 2025 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Politehnica UTM
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Politehnica UTM Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Petrocub Hincesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 31 / 100
Petrocub Hincesti 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Politehnica UTM Petrocub Hincesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Politehnica UTM scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Petrocub Hincesti conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Politehnica UTM went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Politehnica UTM VS Petrocub Hincesti
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Politehnica UTM

(Home)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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Petrocub Hincesti

(Away)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 1
Real Sireti
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
30 Aug
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 0
CSF Balti
22 Aug
Milsami
1 : 0
Petrocub Hincesti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 14 9 4 1 37:12 31
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 14 6 2 6 19:21 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 14 1 7 6 11:19 10
8 CSF Balti 14 1 2 11 9:45 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)