Sport Picks

Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026

Politehnica UTM

2 - 0

Sparta Selemet

Our Tip

Match Events

74'

Nkalle Y.

83'

Erik de Andrade C. J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2025/2026 game between Politehnica UTM and Sparta Selemet finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Politehnica UTM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Politehnica UTM

33%

Draws

27%

Sparta Selemet

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Politehnica UTM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Politehnica UTM carry the better recent record into this one.
Politehnica UTM are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 16%

Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Politehnica UTM	Sparta Selemet
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	9
Draws	5	5
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Super Liga

Politehnica UTM vs Sparta Selemet

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Apr 4, 2026 Super Liga

Sparta Selemet vs Politehnica UTM

Possession: 50% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Nov 9, 2025 Super Liga

Sparta Selemet vs Politehnica UTM

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Sep 14, 2025 Super Liga

Politehnica UTM vs Sparta Selemet

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Jul 20, 2025 Super Liga

Sparta Selemet vs Politehnica UTM

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Politehnica UTM Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkalle Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Erik de Andrade C. J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Sparta Selemet Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 39 / 100

Sparta Selemet 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Politehnica UTM Sparta Selemet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Selemet has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Politehnica UTM found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Politehnica UTM has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Politehnica UTM VS Sparta Selemet

1.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

100% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Politehnica UTM	10	6	4	0	20:7	22
2	Real Sireti	10	5	2	3	16:12	17
3	Sparta Selemet	10	4	3	3	15:14	15
4	Floresti	10	2	4	4	9:12	10
5	Iskra Ribnita	10	2	4	4	9:13	10
6	Stauceni	10	0	5	5	9:20	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Politehnica UTM	10	6	4	0	20:7	22
2	Real Sireti	10	5	2	3	16:12	17
3	Sparta Selemet	10	4	3	3	15:14	15
4	Floresti	10	2	4	4	9:12	10
5	Iskra Ribnita	10	2	4	4	9:13	10
6	Stauceni	10	0	5	5	9:20	5