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Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Betivu A.
21' Event
Yermachkov I.
72' Event
Silcenco C.

AI Match Summary

Politehnica UTM host Zimbru Chisinau in the Moldovan Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Politehnica UTM have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Zimbru Chisinau's 2 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Politehnica UTM have won 0 to Zimbru Chisinau's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 0:5. xG projections (0.94 - 1.69) back Zimbru Chisinau to edge this. Zimbru Chisinau in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Politehnica UTM
39%
Draws
31%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Zimbru Chisinau has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Politehnica UTM.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Moldovan Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 13%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Politehnica UTM Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:5
Mar 3, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
5:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau
2:3
Aug 3, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Politehnica UTM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Zimbru Chisinau Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlovskiy D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Betivu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 30 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Politehnica UTM Zimbru Chisinau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Politehnica UTM scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Zimbru Chisinau let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Politehnica UTM went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Zimbru Chisinau lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Politehnica UTM VS Zimbru Chisinau
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti-
TBD-
Oguzsport1
Olimp Comrat2
Zaria Balti-
TBD-
Falesti1
Victoria2
Sheriff Tiraspol-
TBD-
FCM Ungheni3
Steaua Nordului2
Dacia Buiucani-
TBD-
Stauceni7
National Ialoveni3
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
Univer Comrat6
Constructorul Leova1
Politehnica UTM-
TBD-
Real Sireti7
CSFCJT Atletico2
Milsami-
TBD-
Floresti6
EFA Visoca0
Sparta Selemet-
TBD-
Iskra Ribnita4
FC Congaz1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
Olimp Comrat0
CSF Balti6
Victoria1
Sheriff Tiraspol7
FCM Ungheni0
Dacia Buiucani1
Stauceni0
Zimbru Chisinau10
Univer Comrat0
Politehnica UTM6
Real Sireti1
Milsami1
Floresti0
Sparta Selemet3
Iskra Ribnita1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti2
CSF Balti1
Sheriff Tiraspol4
Dacia Buiucani1
Zimbru Chisinau10
Politehnica UTM0
Milsami5
Sparta Selemet0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti1
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau3
Milsami0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol2
Zimbru Chisinau0