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Polkowice vs BKS Sparta Katowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polkowice host BKS Sparta Katowice in the III Liga - Group III. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Polkowice at 1.84 goals for, 1.59 against; BKS Sparta Katowice at 1.93 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor BKS Sparta Katowice slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.44, favoring BKS Sparta Katowice. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Polkowice
20%
Draws
57%
BKS Sparta Katowice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • BKS Sparta Katowice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on BKS Sparta Katowice taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 16%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polkowice BKS Sparta Katowice
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.84 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs BKS Sparta Katowice
0:4
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Polkowice
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polkowice 28 / 100
BKS Sparta Katowice 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polkowice BKS Sparta Katowice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Sparta Katowice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polkowice scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: BKS Sparta Katowice conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Polkowice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polkowice VS BKS Sparta Katowice
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Polkowice

(Home)
17 Oct
Brzeg
2 : 0
Polkowice
09 Oct
Polkowice
4 : 1
Stilon Gorzow
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 7

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Away)
17 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 0
ROW Rybnik
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1
Kluczbork
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 13 9 1 3 18:9 28
2 BKS Sparta Katowice 13 8 3 2 21:8 27
3 Bytom Odrzanski 13 7 4 2 13:6 25
4 Zaglebie II 13 6 6 1 24:15 24
5 Barycz Sulow 13 6 3 4 20:17 21
6 ROW Rybnik 13 6 2 5 25:21 20
7 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 13 5 4 4 15:11 19
8 Polkowice 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Legnica II 13 5 2 6 27:24 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 13 4 5 4 20:19 17
11 Goczalkowice Zdroj 13 4 3 6 14:17 15
12 Kluczbork 12 5 0 7 12:18 15
13 Brzeg 13 4 3 6 21:18 15
14 Warta Gorzow 13 3 5 5 13:21 14
15 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 12 3 3 6 16:22 12
16 Carina Gubin 13 3 3 7 11:23 12
17 Polonia Nysa 13 3 3 7 15:26 12
18 Sleza Wroclaw 13 3 1 9 19:31 10
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)