Sport Picks
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group III 
Match Events
22'
22'
Elorhan
30'
30'
Marszalik K.
57'
57'
Nagrodzki M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group III game between Polkowice and Carina Gubin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polkowice.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carina Gubin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Polkowice come out ahead of Carina Gubin on wins alone.
- Model gives Polkowice a 31% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Polkowice have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 20%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polkowice | Carina Gubin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Polkowice
1:2
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Carina Gubin
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polkowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Marszalik K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nagrodzki M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Carina Gubin Compare
Top Goalscorer Elorhan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polkowice 58 / 100
Carina Gubin 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polkowice Carina Gubin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polkowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Polkowice scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Carina Gubin has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Polkowice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Polkowice VS Carina Gubin
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Polkowice
(Home) 09 Oct
Polkowice
4 : 1 Stilon Gorzow
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1 Polkowice
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1 Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Barycz Sulow
2 : 1 Polkowice
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Polkowice
4 : 1 Stilon Gorzow
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1 Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1 Carina Gubin
02 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 4
Carina Gubin
(Away) 10 Oct
Carina Gubin
0 : 0 Goczalkowice Zdroj
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1 Carina Gubin
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3 Stilon Gorzow
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0 Carina Gubin
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1 Bytom Odrzanski
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1 Carina Gubin
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0 Carina Gubin
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1 Carina Gubin
19 Aug
ROW Rybnik
4 : 0 Carina Gubin
08 Aug
Warta Gorzow
2 : 1 Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie II | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 2 | Bytom Odrzanski | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 13:6 | 24 |
| 3 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 4 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Barycz Sulow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 6 | ROW Rybnik | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Polkowice | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 18 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 9 | Legnica II | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 17 |
| 10 | Stilon Gorzow | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzow | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Kluczbork | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Brzeg | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Sleza Wroclaw | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:28 | 10 |
| 17 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Carina Gubin | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:22 | 9 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
