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Stadium Background

Polkowice vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Baranowski F.
22'
Lazarz P.
45' Event
Drewniak S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2023/2024 game between Polkowice and Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polkowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Polkowice
11%
Draws
9%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Polkowice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Polkowice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Polkowice's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 20%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polkowice Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
2:1
Sep 23, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Polkowice
0:1
Mar 23, 2019 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Polkowice
3:3
Aug 18, 2018 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
5:3
May 31, 2018 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polkowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Baranowski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Compare

Top Goalscorer Flak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polkowice 76 / 100
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polkowice Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polkowice found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polkowice VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rekord Bielsko-Biala34236584:3775
2Slask Wroclaw II342110376:3273
3Kluczbork34179855:3860
4Polkowice341681056:4956
5Pniowek Pawlowice341413759:5155
6Goczalkowice Zdroj3412111150:3847
7Gornik Zabrze II341451554:5447
8Sleza Wroclaw341291360:6245
9Stilon Gorzow341291351:4945
10Zielona Gora341271547:5743
11Carina Gubin341261648:5542
12Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341181541:5341
13Bytom Odrzanski349141139:4241
14Unia Turza Slaska341181550:5641
15Warta Gorzow349121342:5839
16Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory34891744:5833
17RKS Rakow Czestochowa II34881843:6632
18Starowice Dolne34582136:8023