Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Stadion Górnik, Polkowice
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Kowalczyk S.
50'
Soszynski L.
51'
Paszkowski J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Polkowice
20%
Draws
57%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Polkowice have won more games recently than Polonia Warszawa.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Polkowice have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Polkowice, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 17%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polkowice Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.86 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Polish Cup
Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa
0:1
May 26, 2023 Division 2
Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa
2:0
Oct 21, 2022 Division 2
Polonia Warszawa vs Polkowice
3:0
Apr 18, 2007 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Polkowice
4:1
Sep 2, 2006 Division 1
Polkowice vs Polonia Warszawa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polkowice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadok R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polkowice 31 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polkowice Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Polkowice's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Polkowice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polkowice VS Polonia Warszawa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Polkowice

(Home)
09 Oct
Polkowice
4 : 1
Stilon Gorzow
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Barycz Sulow
2 : 1
Polkowice
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Warszawa

(Away)
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
02 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
Widzew Lodz II -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda -
TBD -
Unia Skierniewice 2
Kleczew 3
Podhale Nowy Targ 2
Chojniczanka 0
TBD -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Radomiak Radom -
Warta Poznan 0
R. Rzeszow 1
TBD -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
Hutnik Krakow 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
Sandecja Nowy S. 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 0
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 2
Motor Lublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork -
TBD -
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
Widzew Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
Plock II -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Luzino -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow 3
LKS Lodz II 1
TBD -
Cracovia -
Zielona Gora -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Gornik Zabrze II -
TBD -
Ol. Grudziadz 5
Swit Szczecin 3
Suwalki -
TBD -
TBD -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Chemik Bydgoszcz -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Slask Wroclaw -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Leczna 2
KKS Kalisz 0
TBD -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
TBD -
LKS Lodz -
Kluczevia Stargard -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce 3
GKS Jastrzebie 0
1/32-finals
Legnica 0
Chrobry Glogow 1
Widzew Lodz II 1
Polonia Bytom 2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3
Zaglebie 2
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sokol Ostroda 1
Kleczew 2
Podhale Nowy Targ 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1
Avia Swidnik 3
KS Wieczysta Krakow 1
Korona Kielce II 0
Radomiak Radom 1
R. Rzeszow 0
Arka Gdynia 4
S. Rzeszow 3
Podbeskidzie 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Beskid Andrychow 1
Slask Wroclaw II 3
Motor Lublin 3
Legia 0
TBD -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Kluczbork 1
Lechia Gdansk 2
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Polkowice 0
Polonia Warszawa 1
Widzew Lodz 0
Korona Kielce 1
Plock II 0
Puszcza 2
Luzino 2
Wisla Plock 3
Pruszkow 2
Cracovia 1
Zielona Gora 0
Ruch Chorzow 2
Gornik Zabrze II 3
Ol. Grudziadz 4
Suwalki 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet 5
Chemik Bydgoszcz 0
Piast Gliwice 3
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole 2
Wisla 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Pogon Szczecin 1
Leczna 4
Stal Mielec 3
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy 1
LKS Lodz 0
Kluczevia Stargard 2
Pogon Siedlce 3
1/16-finals
Chrobry Glogow -
Polonia Bytom -
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
Lech Poznan -
Kleczew -
Podhale Nowy Targ -
Avia Swidnik -
Radomiak Radom -
Arka Gdynia -
S. Rzeszow -
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
Slask Wroclaw II -
Motor Lublin -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Lechia Gdansk -
Jagiellonia -
Polonia Warszawa -
Korona Kielce -
Puszcza -
Wisla Plock -
Pruszkow -
Ruch Chorzow -
Ol. Grudziadz -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
Piast Gliwice -
Gornik Zabrze -
Odra Opole -
Slask Wroclaw -
Leczna -
GKS Katowice -
Tychy -
Pogon Siedlce -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -