Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polokwane City vs Supersport Utd

South Africa South Africa

Betway Premiership 2024/2025 Old Peter Mokaba Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polokwane City play Supersport Utd in the Betway Premiership 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polokwane City averaged 0.78 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Supersport Utd averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Polokwane City won 2, Supersport Utd won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 26, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Polokwane City and 0.88 for Supersport Utd. This points to a Polokwane City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Polokwane City
35%
Draws
26%
Supersport Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polokwane City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Polokwane City picked up more points recently compared to Supersport Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Polokwane City Clean Sheet 25%
Supersport Utd Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polokwane City Supersport Utd
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 13 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.78 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.21

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Betway Premiership
Polokwane City vs Supersport Utd
1:1
Jan 17, 2025 Betway Premiership
Supersport Utd vs Polokwane City
0:1
Apr 17, 2024 Betway Premiership
Supersport Utd vs Polokwane City
1:1
Nov 8, 2023 Betway Premiership
Polokwane City vs Supersport Utd
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Carling Knockout
Supersport Utd vs Polokwane City
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polokwane City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Supersport Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Saile C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polokwane City 40 / 100
Supersport Utd 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polokwane City Supersport Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Polokwane City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polokwane City attacking → ← attacking Supersport Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polokwane City scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Supersport Utd let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Polokwane City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Supersport Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 30
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mamelodi Sundowns28241365:1373
2Orlando Pirates28194543:2061
3Stellenbosch FC28139634:2148
4Sekhukhune28137839:3146
5TS Galaxy28811930:3035
6AmaZulu281051329:3435
7Polokwane City288101019:2534
8Richards Bay28961319:2633
9Kaizer Chiefs28881225:3232
10Marumo Gallants28881226:3932
11Chippa Utd.28871322:2831
12Golden Arrows287101120:3231
13Magesi28871319:3131
14Supersport Utd28691318:3027
15Cape Town City28761515:3127
16Royal AM00000:00