Sport Picks

Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka

Polonia Bytom

1 - 1

Pogon Siedlce

Our Tip

Match Events

Wojtyra K.

Assist: Gajda T.

27'

Jakubik D.

62'

Sub

Rosolek M. In: Niezgoda J.

Out: Rosolek M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Polonia Bytom

Draws

Pogon Siedlce

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Polonia Bytom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Polonia Bytom have won more games recently than Pogon Siedlce.
Win probability leans Polonia Bytom's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 20%

Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Bytom	Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played	25	26
Wins	9	5
Draws	4	6
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.88	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Division 1

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Aug 17, 2025 Division 1

Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom

Possession: 60% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Mar 17, 2024 Division 2

Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Bytom

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

3:3

Sep 2, 2023 Division 2

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Siedlce

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Bytom Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojtyra K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Podlinski K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Bytom 85 / 100

Pogon Siedlce 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Bytom Pogon Siedlce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Bytom found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (25 games).

Pogon Siedlce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Pogon Siedlce lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Bytom VS Pogon Siedlce

1.88 Goals Scored 0.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wisla	34	20	11	3	72:32	71
2	Slask Wroclaw	34	17	11	6	69:47	62
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	16	9	9	70:47	57
4	Chrobry Glogow	34	16	7	11	48:36	55
5	LKS Lodz	34	15	9	10	56:48	54
6	Polonia Warszawa	34	15	8	11	52:49	53
7	Ruch Chorzow	34	14	11	9	54:46	53
8	Legnica	34	15	7	12	52:53	52
9	Puszcza	34	12	13	9	45:40	49
10	Polonia Bytom	34	13	8	13	56:50	47
11	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	11	12	11	51:54	45
12	Odra Opole	34	11	11	12	34:40	44
13	S. Rzeszow	34	12	7	15	49:60	43
14	Stal Mielec	34	10	6	18	51:62	36
15	Pogon Siedlce	34	9	9	16	33:43	36
16	Pruszkow	34	7	7	20	40:68	28
17	Leczna	34	5	12	17	39:62	27
18	Tychy	34	5	8	21	40:74	23