Sport Picks
Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Boisko ul. Pilkarska 8, Bytom 
Match Events
15'
15'
Azatsky O.
Own Goal
28'
28'
Wojtyra K.
Assist: Zielinski L.
38'
38'
Szymusik G.
AI Match Summary
The Division 1 game between Polonia Bytom and Warta Poznan finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Bytom.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Poznan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Polonia Bytom haven't matched Warta Poznan's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Warta Poznan's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 11%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Bytom | Warta Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan
4:3
Sep 23, 2025 Polish Cup
Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom
0:1
Mar 3, 2017 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan
1:2
Aug 13, 2016 Division 2
Warta Poznan vs Polonia Bytom
0:1
Apr 23, 2014 Division 2 - West
Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznan
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Bytom Compare
Top Goalscorer Wojtyra K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Andrzejczak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Warta Poznan Compare
Top Goalscorer Lepczynski K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stanek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Bytom 18 / 100
Warta Poznan 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Bytom Warta Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Bytom scored in 92% of their last 25 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Warta Poznan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
Solid form: Polonia Bytom remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Bytom VS Warta Poznan
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Bytom
(Home) 02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 5
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
22 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Aug
Polonia Bytom
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
24 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 3 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 3
Warta Poznan
(Away) 03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
21 Aug
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 1 Warta Poznan
15 Aug
Odra Opole
3 : 1 Warta Poznan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 5 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
