Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Nysa vs Brzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Korzeniewicz J.
27' Event
Sobkow E.
29' Event
Kupczak P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Polonia Nysa and Brzeg finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Nysa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Polonia Nysa
15%
Draws
85%
Brzeg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brzeg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Brzeg taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Nysa Brzeg
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.19 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Brzeg
3:2
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Brzeg vs Polonia Nysa
2:0
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Brzeg vs Polonia Nysa
3:0
May 13, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Polonia Nysa
2:2
Oct 7, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Brzeg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Korzeniewicz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kupczak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Brzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobkow E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 10 / 100
Brzeg 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Nysa Brzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brzeg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Polonia Nysa scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Brzeg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Brzeg's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Brzeg
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Nysa

(Home)
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0
Polonia Nysa
29 Aug
Polonia Nysa
1 : 3
Sleza Wroclaw
22 Aug
Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 : 0
Polonia Nysa
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Brzeg

(Away)
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Brzeg
2 : 4
Legnica II
28 Aug
Kluczbork
1 : 0
Brzeg
23 Aug
Brzeg
3 : 0
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 9 6 3 0 19:9 21
2 BKS Sparta Katowice 9 6 2 1 16:6 20
3 Bytom Odrzanski 9 6 2 1 11:4 20
4 Barycz Sulow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
6 Polkowice 9 4 2 3 18:16 14
7 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 9 3 3 3 10:7 12
8 Kluczbork 9 4 0 5 9:14 12
9 Warta Gorzow 9 3 3 3 9:15 12
10 Legnica II 9 3 2 4 23:18 11
11 Brzeg 9 3 2 4 15:12 11
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 9 3 2 4 11:13 11
13 ROW Rybnik 9 3 2 4 18:15 11
14 Stilon Gorzow 9 2 4 3 14:13 10
15 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Sleza Wroclaw 9 2 0 7 14:25 6
17 Polonia Nysa 9 1 2 6 8:21 5
18 Carina Gubin 9 1 2 6 6:19 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)