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Polonia Nysa vs Carina Gubin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Nysa host Carina Gubin in the III Liga - Group III. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Polonia Nysa at 1.34 goals for, 1.62 against; Carina Gubin at 1.17 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Polonia Nysa have won 2 to Carina Gubin's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.25, favoring Polonia Nysa. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Polonia Nysa
20%
Draws
40%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polonia Nysa come out ahead of Carina Gubin on wins alone.
  • Polonia Nysa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 19%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Nysa Carina Gubin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa
1:2
Nov 14, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Carina Gubin
2:2
Mar 4, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Polonia Nysa
1:0
Aug 6, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Carina Gubin
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 40 / 100
Carina Gubin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Nysa Carina Gubin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Nysa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Polonia Nysa scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Carina Gubin has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Polonia Nysa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Carina Gubin
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Nysa

(Home)
16 Oct
Polonia Nysa
2 : 2
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1
Polonia Nysa
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
Page 1 of 6

Carina Gubin

(Away)
17 Oct
Sleza Wroclaw
1 : 3
Carina Gubin
10 Oct
Carina Gubin
0 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3
Stilon Gorzow
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 13 9 1 3 18:9 28
2 BKS Sparta Katowice 13 8 3 2 21:8 27
3 Bytom Odrzanski 13 7 4 2 13:6 25
4 Zaglebie II 13 6 6 1 24:15 24
5 Barycz Sulow 13 6 3 4 20:17 21
6 ROW Rybnik 13 6 2 5 25:21 20
7 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 13 5 4 4 15:11 19
8 Polkowice 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Legnica II 13 5 2 6 27:24 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 13 4 5 4 20:19 17
11 Goczalkowice Zdroj 13 4 3 6 14:17 15
12 Kluczbork 12 5 0 7 12:18 15
13 Brzeg 13 4 3 6 21:18 15
14 Warta Gorzow 13 3 5 5 13:21 14
15 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 12 3 3 6 16:22 12
16 Carina Gubin 13 3 3 7 11:23 12
17 Polonia Nysa 13 3 3 7 15:26 12
18 Sleza Wroclaw 13 3 1 9 19:31 10
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)