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Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Nysa host Karkonosze Jelenia Gora in the III Liga - Group III. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Polonia Nysa at 1.25 goals for, 1.64 against; Karkonosze Jelenia Gora at 1.55 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Karkonosze Jelenia Gora slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.69, favoring Karkonosze Jelenia Gora. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Polonia Nysa
15%
Draws
51%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Karkonosze Jelenia Gora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 13%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Nysa Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Polonia Nysa
3:1
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 35 / 100
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Nysa Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Polonia Nysa scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Polonia Nysa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Nysa

(Home)
10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1
Polonia Nysa
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
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Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

(Away)
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
Sleza Wroclaw
2 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
13 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)