Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026

Polonia Nysa

2 - 3

Skra Czestochowa

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Jarek S.

49'

Golebiowski R.

83'

Cieslak S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Skra Czestochowa in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Skra Czestochowa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Polonia Nysa

40%

Draws

29%

Skra Czestochowa

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Skra Czestochowa lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Nysa.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%

Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 14%

Skra Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Nysa	Skra Czestochowa
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	8	16
Draws	8	4
Losses	14	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group III

Polonia Nysa vs Skra Czestochowa

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group III

Skra Czestochowa vs Polonia Nysa

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomal J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Czajkowski J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Skra Czestochowa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarek S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Golebiowski R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 31 / 100

Skra Czestochowa 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Nysa Skra Czestochowa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Nysa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Skra Czestochowa conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Polonia Nysa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Skra Czestochowa

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zielona Gora	34	21	10	3	77:17	73
2	Polkowice	34	20	7	7	64:42	67
3	BKS Sparta Katowice	34	18	8	8	53:34	62
4	Skra Czestochowa	34	17	8	9	68:56	59
5	Zaglebie II	34	17	6	11	77:61	57
6	Goczalkowice Zdroj	34	15	9	10	49:46	54
7	Kluczbork	34	15	7	12	67:43	52
8	Warta Gorzow	34	15	7	12	54:47	52
9	Gornik Zabrze II	34	15	6	13	73:44	51
10	Sleza Wroclaw	34	14	7	13	49:57	49
11	Woliborz	34	13	9	12	48:49	48
12	Carina Gubin	34	12	11	11	50:51	47
13	Legnica II	34	13	7	14	63:58	46
14	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	34	12	9	13	57:56	45
15	Polonia Nysa	34	9	10	15	51:58	37
16	Starowice Dolne	34	7	6	21	33:81	27
17	Pniowek Pawlowice	34	5	4	25	28:77	19
18	Stal Jasien	34	2	1	31	21:105	7