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Polonia Nysa vs Sleza Wroclaw

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Nysa play Sleza Wroclaw in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polonia Nysa averaged 1.48 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Sleza Wroclaw averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Nysa won 0, Sleza Wroclaw won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 6, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Polonia Nysa and 1.69 for Sleza Wroclaw. This points to a Sleza Wroclaw double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Polonia Nysa
24%
Draws
53%
Sleza Wroclaw
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Sleza Wroclaw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Polonia Nysa picked up more points recently compared to Sleza Wroclaw.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 13%
Sleza Wroclaw Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Nysa Sleza Wroclaw
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Sleza Wroclaw
1:3
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Sleza Wroclaw vs Polonia Nysa
2:1
May 6, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Sleza Wroclaw vs Polonia Nysa
1:0
Oct 1, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Sleza Wroclaw
0:3
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Sleza Wroclaw vs Polonia Nysa
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Podgorski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sleza Wroclaw Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Dornellas
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chmielewski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 23 / 100
Sleza Wroclaw 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Nysa Sleza Wroclaw

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sleza Wroclaw Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sleza Wroclaw & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polonia Nysa attacking → ← attacking Sleza Wroclaw

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Nysa scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sleza Wroclaw let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Polonia Nysa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sleza Wroclaw lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 52
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057