Sport Picks
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2021/2022 
Match Events
14'
14'
Cybula A.
59'
59'
Gielda J.
90'
90'
Gielda J.
AI Match Summary
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this III Liga - Group II 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lately — more wins on the board than Baltyk Koszalin.
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 15%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | Baltyk Koszalin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:1
Aug 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Mar 13, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
2:2
Mar 21, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:0
Aug 14, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Baltyk Koszalin
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Gielda J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Baltyk Koszalin Compare
Top Goalscorer Cybula A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 39 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Baltyk Koszalin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Baltyk Koszalin let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Baltyk Koszalin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Baltyk Koszalin
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Home) 18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
17 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 0 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
08 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 1 Tluchowo
25 Apr
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
Page 1 of 3
Baltyk Koszalin
(Away) 18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
25 Jan
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
23 Jul
Gryf Slupsk
3 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
18 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 2 Blekitni Stargard
11 Jun
Pogon Szczecin II
3 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2 Baltyk Koszalin
25 Jan
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
23 Jul
Gryf Slupsk
3 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jun
Pogon Szczecin II
3 : 1 Baltyk Koszalin
28 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1 : 0 Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kotwica Kolobrzeg | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 75:25 | 78 |
| 2 | Ol. Grudziadz | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:24 | 77 |
| 3 | Unia Janikowo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 62:47 | 60 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60:36 | 58 |
| 5 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:42 | 58 |
| 6 | Kleczew | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 53:39 | 56 |
| 7 | Swit Szczecin | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:37 | 56 |
| 8 | Zawisza | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57:51 | 50 |
| 9 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 48:54 | 45 |
| 10 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:63 | 43 |
| 11 | Starogard Gdanski | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:51 | 42 |
| 12 | Stolem Gniewino | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43:66 | 41 |
| 13 | B. Gdynia | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 36 |
| 14 | Jarocin | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:47 | 36 |
| 15 | Przodkowo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:51 | 36 |
| 16 | Baltyk Koszalin | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:58 | 35 |
| 17 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 28:65 | 26 |
| 18 | Elana Torun | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 36:84 | 21 |
Promotion - Division 2 2022/2023 (Main)