Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2017/2018

Chwaszczyno

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol play Chwaszczyno in the III Liga - Group II 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Chwaszczyno averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol won 0, Chwaszczyno won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 14, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and 1.00 for Chwaszczyno. This points to a Chwaszczyno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

24%

Draws

40%

Chwaszczyno

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Chwaszczyno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol picked up more points recently compared to Chwaszczyno.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 23%

Chwaszczyno Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	Chwaszczyno
Matches Played	28	13
Wins	13	6
Draws	5	3
Losses	10	4
Goals Scored	1.75	1.62
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.92

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2017 III Liga - Group II

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Chwaszczyno

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

Jun 18, 2017 III Liga - Group II

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Chwaszczyno

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

1:4

Nov 26, 2016 III Liga - Group II

Chwaszczyno vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 37 / 100

Chwaszczyno 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Chwaszczyno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chwaszczyno or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol attacking → ← attacking Chwaszczyno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Chwaszczyno let in goals in 69% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chwaszczyno lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 21

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elana Torun	34	24	5	5	71:24	77
2	Swit Szczecin	34	23	4	7	70:27	73
3	B. Gdynia	34	22	3	9	74:36	69
4	Lech Poznan II	34	20	6	8	69:34	66
5	KKS Kalisz	34	19	6	9	52:33	63
6	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	17	9	8	63:41	60
7	Kleczew	34	17	8	9	52:32	59
8	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	34	17	6	11	48:37	57
9	Starogard Gdanski	34	15	6	13	46:32	51
10	Pogon Szczecin II	34	14	7	13	44:54	49
11	Jarocin	34	11	9	14	45:50	42
12	KS Wierzyca Pelplin	34	12	6	16	38:47	42
13	Wda Swiecie	34	10	5	19	52:72	35
14	Gornik Konin	34	9	7	18	40:61	34
15	Centra Ostrow Wielkopolski	34	9	5	20	38:67	32
16	Przodkowo	34	7	4	23	38:75	25
17	Unia Solec Kujawski	34	4	7	23	33:80	19
18	Gryfino	34	2	5	27	9:80	11