Sport Picks
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Elana Torun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
43'
43'
Orzel A.
65'
65'
Kowalski K.
69'
69'
Wilczynski J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lately — more wins on the board than Elana Torun.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Polonia Sroda Wielkopol taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 12%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | Elana Torun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Elana Torun
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:3
Aug 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Elana Torun
1:0
May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:1
Oct 31, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Elana Torun
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilczynski J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ratajczak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Elana Torun Compare
Top Goalscorer Orzel A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kowalski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 65 / 100
Elana Torun 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Elana Torun
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Elana Torun has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Elana Torun
3 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Home) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
01 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 2 Sandecja Nowy S.
28 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 3
Elana Torun
(Away) 09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0 Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1 Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0 Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1 Elana Torun
29 Aug
KKS Kalisz
5 : 1 Elana Torun
22 Aug
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1 Elana Torun
15 Aug
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 2 Elana Torun
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
