Sport Picks
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Gedania Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
14'
14'
Niewiadomski M.
53'
53'
Bartkowiak B.
64'
64'
Karmanski F.
AI Match Summary
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Gedania Gdansk haven't matched Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's recent run of results.
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Gedania Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | Gedania Gdansk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.16 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Gedania Gdansk
4:3
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Gedania Gdansk
0:4
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:2
Nov 25, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Gedania Gdansk
2:1
Aug 5, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Gedania Gdansk vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartkowiak B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Karmanski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Gedania Gdansk Compare
Top Goalscorer Niewiadomski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 47 / 100
Gedania Gdansk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Gedania Gdansk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gedania Gdansk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Gedania Gdansk
3 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Home) 09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0 Kluczevia Stargard
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
01 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 2 Sandecja Nowy S.
28 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 4
Gedania Gdansk
(Away) 10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
28 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
19 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 2 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
