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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Jarocin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol play Jarocin in the III Liga - Group II 2022/2023. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are favorites here. Recently, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Jarocin averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol won 5, Jarocin won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and 1.13 for Jarocin. This points to a Polonia Sroda Wielkopol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
6%
Draws
4%
Jarocin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Jarocin.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 68%
Jarocin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Jarocin
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 21 8
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Jarocin
1:0
Aug 27, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
May 14, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Jarocin vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
Oct 9, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Jarocin
1:0
Aug 28, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Jarocin
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pralat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Jarocin Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 95 / 100
Jarocin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Jarocin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 77% of their last 39 games.

Jarocin let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jarocin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ol. Grudziadz34237473:1876
2Pogon Szczecin II34209569:2569
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol342041075:5464
4Zawisza341951069:4562
5Gedania Gdansk341941163:5961
6Starogard Gdanski34178944:3559
7Swit Szczecin341671161:4155
8Nowe Skalmierzyce341661251:4654
9Kleczew341451553:4847
10Unia Swarzedz3411111237:4244
11Cartusia Kartuzy3411101337:4043
12Blekitni Stargard3410121246:4542
13Stolem Gniewino34991633:5236
14Vineta Wolin348111547:6635
15Unia Solec Kujawski34981740:5935
16Jarocin34961941:6933
17B. Gdynia34842243:7028
18Unia Janikowo34242817:8510
19Przodkowo00000:00