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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kluczevia Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Mikita P.
72' Event
De Amo J.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
20%
Draws
28%
Kluczevia Stargard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have won more games recently than Kluczevia Stargard.
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Kluczevia Stargard
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.12 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kluczevia Stargard
2:0
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kluczevia Stargard
1:4
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Kluczevia Stargard vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
Apr 27, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kluczevia Stargard
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikita P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Amo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 83 / 100
Kluczevia Stargard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Kluczevia Stargard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Kluczevia Stargard has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Kluczevia Stargard
3 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Home)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
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Kluczevia Stargard

(Away)
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Kluczevia Stargard
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
05 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)