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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kotwica Kornik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol host Kotwica Kornik in the III Liga - Group II. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have averaged 2.3 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Kotwica Kornik's 1.45 scored and 2.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Polonia Sroda Wielkopol slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (2.69 - 1.25) back Polonia Sroda Wielkopol to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
20%
Draws
6%
Kotwica Kornik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have won more games recently than Kotwica Kornik.
  • Model gives Polonia Sroda Wielkopol a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Polonia Sroda Wielkopol here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 19%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Kotwica Kornik
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.3 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Kotwica Kornik vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:3
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Kotwica Kornik
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 85 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Kotwica Kornik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kotwica Kornik has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Solid form: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Kotwica Kornik
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Home)
31 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
5 : 2
Luzino
28 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 1
Slask Wroclaw II
24 Oct
KKS Kalisz
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
18 Oct
Lech Poznan II
2 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 6

Kotwica Kornik

(Away)
31 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
24 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
0 : 2
Wda Swiecie
17 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Kotwica Kornik
10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Kluczevia Stargard 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
3 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
4 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
5 Lech Poznan II 15 7 3 5 39:31 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)