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Stadium Background

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Luzino

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Skrobosinski P.
64' Event
Kurbiel P.
66' Event
Sosnowski F.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol host Luzino in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have averaged 1.63 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Luzino's 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Polonia Sroda Wielkopol slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Luzino. Luzino in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
33%
Draws
27%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzino has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%
Luzino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Luzino
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 20
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Luzino
1:2
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Luzino
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrobosinski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurbiel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sosnowski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 39 / 100
Luzino 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Luzino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Luzino let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Luzino lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Luzino
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415