Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Luzino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Karmanski F.
22' Event
Mackowiak M.
32' Event
Kostuch P.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and Luzino finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
15%
Draws
16%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Luzino haven't matched Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Polonia Sroda Wielkopol a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%
Luzino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Luzino
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 17
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.12 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Luzino
5:2
Mar 13, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Luzino
1:2
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:2
Mar 10, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Luzino
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikita P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Karmanski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostuch P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konkol D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 83 / 100
Luzino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Luzino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Luzino let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Luzino
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Home)
31 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
5 : 2
Luzino
28 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 1
Slask Wroclaw II
24 Oct
KKS Kalisz
0 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
18 Oct
Lech Poznan II
2 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
09 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
Page 1 of 7

Luzino

(Away)
31 Oct
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
5 : 2
Luzino
24 Oct
Luzino
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
17 Oct
Kluczevia Stargard
3 : 2
Luzino
10 Oct
Luzino
3 : 0
Wda Swiecie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 15 11 4 0 43:20 37
2 Kluczevia Stargard 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
3 Luzino 15 9 1 5 40:25 28
4 Wda Swiecie 15 8 4 3 23:19 28
5 Lech Poznan II 15 7 3 5 39:31 24
6 Blekitni Stargard 15 6 5 4 35:26 23
7 Baltyk Koszalin 15 5 5 5 22:20 20
8 Elana Torun 15 5 5 5 23:25 20
9 Notec Czarnkow 15 6 2 7 21:23 20
10 Unia Swarzedz 15 5 4 6 24:21 19
11 Gedania Gdansk 15 4 7 4 30:29 19
12 KKS Kalisz 15 4 7 4 18:20 19
13 Grom Nowy Staw 15 5 1 9 32:34 16
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 15 3 6 6 24:30 15
15 Swinoujscie 15 4 3 8 18:32 15
16 Lipno Steszew 15 4 2 9 19:29 14
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 15 2 7 6 12:24 13
18 Kotwica Kornik 15 3 2 10 20:39 11
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)