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Stadium Background

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Ol. Grudziadz

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol play Ol. Grudziadz in the Polish Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Ol. Grudziadz averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Sroda Wielkopol won 0, Ol. Grudziadz won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 23, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and 1.63 for Ol. Grudziadz. This points to a Ol. Grudziadz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
28%
Draws
50%
Ol. Grudziadz
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ol. Grudziadz.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Ol. Grudziadz.
  • Cup tournament structure in Polish Cup 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Ol. Grudziadz
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 Polish Cup
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:3
Jun 2, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Ol. Grudziadz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:0
Nov 5, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:4
May 28, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Ol. Grudziadz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
7:2
Oct 23, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Ol. Grudziadz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartkowiak B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Czajka B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pawlowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 23 / 100
Ol. Grudziadz 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Ol. Grudziadz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Ol. Grudziadz let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ol. Grudziadz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Ol. Grudziadz
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zawisza-
TBD-
TBD-
Tychy-
GKS Wikielec-
TBD-
Podbeskidzie2
R. Rzeszow1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg-
TBD-
Hutnik Krakow3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec0
Bytom Odrzanski-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla-
Beskid Andrychow-
TBD-
Chojniczanka2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1
Legnica II-
TBD-
Swit Szczecin2
LKS Lodz II1
Malapanew Ozimek-
TBD-
TBD-
Pruszkow-
S. Rzeszow-
TBD-
TBD-
Korona Kielce-
LKS Lomza-
TBD-
TBD-
Odra Opole-
Korona Kielce II-
TBD-
TBD-
Piast Gliwice-
Gryf Slupsk-
TBD-
TBD-
Polonia Warszawa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec-
TBD-
TBD-
Puszcza-
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3
Wisla Pulawy0
TBD-
Lechia Gdansk-
Arka Gdynia-
TBD-
TBD-
Motor Lublin-
Legia II-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Avia Swidnik-
TBD-
TBD-
Ruch Chorzow-
Swinoujscie-
TBD-
KKS Kalisz0
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II-
TBD-
Stal Stalowa Wola3
Skra Czestochowa1
Warta Poznan1
Olimpia Elblag0
Polonia Bytom7
Zaglebie II1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-
TBD-
KS Wieczysta Krakow0
Ol. Grudziadz1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki-
TBD-
TBD-
Slask Wroclaw-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leczna-
TBD-
TBD-
Cracovia-
LKS Lodz-
TBD-
TBD-
Chrobry Glogow-
GKS Katowice-
TBD-
TBD-
Wisla Plock-
Legnica-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Siedlce-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg-
TBD-
TBD-
Pogon Szczecin-
Termalica Bruk-Bet-
TBD-
TBD-
Widzew Lodz-
Radomiak Radom-
TBD-
TBD-
Zaglebie-
1/32-finals
Zawisza2
Tychy0
GKS Wikielec2
Podbeskidzie1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg0
Hutnik Krakow1
Bytom Odrzanski0
Wisla1
Beskid Andrychow0
Chojniczanka3
Legnica II1
Swit Szczecin3
Malapanew Ozimek1
Pruszkow2
S. Rzeszow0
Korona Kielce1
LKS Lomza0
Odra Opole2
Korona Kielce II0
Piast Gliwice1
Gryf Slupsk1
Polonia Warszawa0
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Stal Mielec1
Puszcza2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0
Lechia Gdansk1
Arka Gdynia1
Motor Lublin0
Legia II0
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik3
Ruch Chorzow1
Swinoujscie3
GKS Jastrzebie2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II3
Stal Stalowa Wola1
Warta Poznan0
Polonia Bytom1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1
Ol. Grudziadz3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki1
Slask Wroclaw2
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
Leczna1
Cracovia5
LKS Lodz5
Chrobry Glogow3
GKS Katowice4
Wisla Plock2
Legnica2
Pogon Siedlce0
TBD-
Jagiellonia-
Legia-
TBD-
Kotwica Kolobrzeg0
Pogon Szczecin3
Termalica Bruk-Bet2
Widzew Lodz3
Radomiak Radom0
Zaglebie2
1/16-finals
Zawisza3
GKS Wikielec0
Hutnik Krakow0
Wisla1
Chojniczanka3
Swit Szczecin1
Pruszkow0
Korona Kielce3
Odra Opole0
Piast Gliwice2
Gryf Slupsk1
Lech Poznan2
Puszcza1
Lechia Gdansk3
Arka Gdynia1
Gornik Zabrze2
Avia Swidnik3
Swinoujscie0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II0
Polonia Bytom7
Ol. Grudziadz0
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa3
Cracovia0
LKS Lodz1
GKS Katowice2
Legnica2
Jagiellonia3
Legia1
Pogon Szczecin2
Widzew Lodz1
Zaglebie0
1/8-finals
Zawisza4
Wisla1
Chojniczanka2
Korona Kielce1
Piast Gliwice0
Lech Poznan2
Lechia Gdansk1
Gornik Zabrze3
Avia Swidnik4
Polonia Bytom2
Slask Wroclaw1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice3
Jagiellonia1
Pogon Szczecin0
Widzew Lodz1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza2
Chojniczanka1
Lech Poznan0
Gornik Zabrze1
Avia Swidnik1
Rakow Czestochowa2
GKS Katowice2
Widzew Lodz1
Semi-finals
Zawisza0
Gornik Zabrze1
Rakow Czestochowa5
GKS Katowice4
Final
Gornik Zabrze2
Rakow Czestochowa0