Sport Picks
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Swarzedz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
2'
2'
Bartkowiak B.
39'
39'
Slowinski W.
47'
47'
Karmanski F.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and Unia Swarzedz finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol come out ahead of Unia Swarzedz on wins alone.
- Polonia Sroda Wielkopol are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | Unia Swarzedz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Swarzedz
4:3
Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Swarzedz
0:1
Sep 19, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Swarzedz
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Bartkowiak B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Karmanski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31
Unia Swarzedz Compare
Top Goalscorer Slowinski W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Maluski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 35 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Unia Swarzedz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Unia Swarzedz conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Unia Swarzedz
3.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Home) 03 Oct
Wda Swiecie
0 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
19 Sept
Notec Czarnkow
0 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
05 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
4 : 4 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2 Elana Torun
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
01 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 2 Sandecja Nowy S.
28 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Gedania Gdansk
19 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 1 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 4
Unia Swarzedz
(Away) 03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3 Luzino
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
04 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 1 Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
11 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
28 Aug
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
19 Aug
Elana Torun
2 : 3 Unia Swarzedz
09 Aug
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0 Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 33:16 | 27 |
| 2 | Luzino | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 27:19 | 18 |
| 5 | Wda Swiecie | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 6 | KKS Kalisz | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:15 | 17 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Swinoujscie | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzedz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 12 | Grom Nowy Staw | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28:28 | 13 |
| 13 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Gedania Gdansk | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 23:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Elana Torun | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 16 | Kotwica Kornik | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 18:32 | 10 |
| 17 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | 5 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
