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Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Matuszewski M.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol host Unia Swarzedz in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol at 1.63 goals for, 1.13 against; Unia Swarzedz at 2.13 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Polonia Sroda Wielkopol slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.63) back Polonia Sroda Wielkopol to edge this. Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
28%
Draws
50%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Unia Swarzedz.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Unia Swarzedz.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Swarzedz
0:1
Sep 19, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:2
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Swarzedz
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:0
Apr 7, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Unia Swarzedz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Matuszewski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 23 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Unia Swarzedz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Unia Swarzedz let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Unia Swarzedz lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Unia Swarzedz
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415