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Polonia W. U19 vs Lechia Gdansk U19

Poland Poland

Central Youth League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia W. U19 play Lechia Gdansk U19 in the Central Youth League. Polonia W. U19 are favorites here. Recently, Polonia W. U19 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Lechia Gdansk U19 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia W. U19 won 4, Lechia Gdansk U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Polonia W. U19 and 1.19 for Lechia Gdansk U19. This points to a Polonia W. U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Polonia W. U19
15%
Draws
24%
Lechia Gdansk U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia W. U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia W. U19 picked up more points recently compared to Lechia Gdansk U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Polonia W. U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Lechia Gdansk U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia W. U19 Lechia Gdansk U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.8 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Central Youth League
Polonia W. U19 vs Lechia Gdansk U19
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 Central Youth League
Lechia Gdansk U19 vs Polonia W. U19
4:5
Nov 30, 2024 Central Youth League
Lechia Gdansk U19 vs Polonia W. U19
2:5
Aug 16, 2024 Central Youth League
Polonia W. U19 vs Lechia Gdansk U19
0:1
May 14, 2023 Central Youth League
Lechia Gdansk U19 vs Polonia W. U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia W. U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolodziejski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Czechowski F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Lechia Gdansk U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieczka B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia W. U19 59 / 100
Lechia Gdansk U19 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia W. U19 Lechia Gdansk U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia W. U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Polonia W. U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polonia W. U19 attacking → ← attacking Lechia Gdansk U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia W. U19 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Lechia Gdansk U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Polonia W. U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lechia Gdansk U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 25
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25