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Stadium Background

Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Glogow Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Polonii, Warsaw
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Staszak W.
46'
Sub
Ibe-Torti K. In: Bak R.
Out: Ibe-Torti K.
59'
Kozajda M.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Warszawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Polonia Warszawa
30%
Draws
37%
Chrobry Glogow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chrobry Glogow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Not much separates Polonia Warszawa and Chrobry Glogow on recent form.
  • Model gives Polonia Warszawa a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Polonia Warszawa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 68%
Chrobry Glogow Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Warszawa Chrobry Glogow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Glogow
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Glogow
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Division 1
Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Chrobry Glogow
4:2
Sep 25, 2024 Polish Cup
Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 50 / 100
Chrobry Glogow 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Warszawa Chrobry Glogow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chrobry Glogow let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Polonia Warszawa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Polonia Warszawa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Warszawa VS Chrobry Glogow
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Warszawa

(Home)
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
02 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
29 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 4
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

Chrobry Glogow

(Away)
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
05 Sept
Legnica
1 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
02 Sept
Legnica
0 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
30 Aug
Chrobry Glogow
2 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
14 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
15 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
16 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
17 Podbeskidzie 9 0 8 1 12:14 8
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)