Sport Picks
Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Polonii, Warsaw 
Match Events
9'
9'
Wojtowicz T.
31'
31'
Durmus I.
43'
43'
Terpilowski E.
Assist: Skrabb S.
AI Match Summary
Lechia Gdansk in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lechia Gdansk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lechia Gdansk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Polonia Warszawa have won more games recently than Lechia Gdansk.
- Lechia Gdansk are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lechia Gdansk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%
Lechia Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Warszawa | Lechia Gdansk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk
2:4
Apr 24, 2024 Division 1
Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warszawa
1:0
Oct 31, 2023 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk
0:1
Feb 22, 2013 Ekstraklasa
Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk
1:1
Jan 23, 2013 Club Friendly
Lechia Gdansk vs Polonia Warszawa
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Warszawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Terpilowski E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dadok R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Lechia Gdansk Compare
Top Goalscorer Wojtowicz T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dodaj K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Warszawa 26 / 100
Lechia Gdansk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Warszawa Lechia Gdansk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lechia Gdansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Polonia Warszawa scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Lechia Gdansk let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Polonia Warszawa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Warszawa VS Lechia Gdansk
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Warszawa
(Home) 10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
29 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 4 Lechia Gdansk
07 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
1 : 1 Ruch Chorzow
01 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
Page 1 of 3
Lechia Gdansk
(Away) 03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3 Lechia Gdansk
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1 Stal Mielec
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1 Legnica
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1 Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2 Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3 Lechia Gdansk
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1 Lechia Gdansk
01 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 2 Lechia Gdansk
29 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 4 Lechia Gdansk
14 Aug
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 0 Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 5 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 15 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 16 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Stal Mielec | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
