Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Polonii, Warsaw
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa host Legnica in the Division 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Polonia Warszawa have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Legnica's 1.2 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Polonia Warszawa have won 1 to Legnica's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back Legnica to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Polonia Warszawa
20%
Draws
7%
Legnica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Legnica have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Polonia Warszawa are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Model gives Polonia Warszawa a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 17%
Legnica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Warszawa Legnica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Division 1
Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Division 1
Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa
2:3
Aug 17, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica
0:1
Feb 23, 2024 Division 1
Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 66 / 100
Legnica 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Warszawa Legnica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Legnica conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Polonia Warszawa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Warszawa VS Legnica
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Warszawa

(Home)
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
02 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

Legnica

(Away)
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Legnica
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
05 Sept
Legnica
1 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
02 Sept
Legnica
0 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
15 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
16 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
17 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)