Sport Picks
Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Polonii, Warsaw 
Match Events
23'
23'
Marcjanik M.
Assist: Skrabb S.
48'
48'
Andrzejczak K.
66'
66'
Andrzejczak K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Polonia Warszawa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Polonia Bytom haven't matched Polonia Warszawa's recent run of results.
- Polonia Warszawa are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 18%
Polonia Bytom Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Warszawa | Polonia Bytom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom
2:2
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom
2:1
Nov 19, 2016 Division 2
Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa
1:1
Jul 31, 2016 Division 2
Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Warszawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcjanik M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gnaase D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Polonia Bytom Compare
Top Goalscorer Andrzejczak K.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Warszawa 67 / 100
Polonia Bytom 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Warszawa Polonia Bytom
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Polonia Warszawa scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Polonia Bytom let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Polonia Warszawa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Warszawa VS Polonia Bytom
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Warszawa
(Home) 10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2 Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1 Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0 Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
29 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 4 Lechia Gdansk
07 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
1 : 1 Ruch Chorzow
01 Aug
Polonia Warszawa
3 : 1 Unia Skierniewice
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Polonia Bytom
(Away) 02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Ruch Chorzow
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
06 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0 Podbeskidzie
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02 Oct
Rakow Czestochowa
4 : 1 Polonia Bytom
15 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
1 : 2 Polonia Bytom
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2 Polonia Bytom
30 Aug
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1 Polonia Bytom
16 Aug
Stal Mielec
5 : 2 Polonia Bytom
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
