Sport Picks

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Pombal vs Botafogo PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2025 Estadio Jose Cavalcanti, Patos
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sub
Rafinha In: Gustavo Ramos
Out: Rafinha
36'
Barbosa da Silva A. A.
46'
Sub
dos Santos E. In: Fabiano Paulista
Out: dos Santos E.

AI Match Summary

Pombal in this Paraibano 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pombal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pombal
15%
Draws
39%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo PB have won more games recently than Pombal.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Botafogo PB have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pombal Clean Sheet 21%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pombal Botafogo PB
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs Pombal
4:0
Jan 25, 2025 Paraibano
Pombal vs Botafogo PB
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Paraibano
Pombal vs Botafogo PB
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pombal Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Bahia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Botafogo PB Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pombal 32 / 100
Botafogo PB 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pombal Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Pombal scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Botafogo PB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Pombal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Botafogo PB
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pombal

(Home)
22 Feb
Sousa
2 : 0
Pombal
18 Feb
Confianca PB
3 : 2
Pombal
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Pombal
3 : 1
Serra Branca
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Botafogo PB

(Away)
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:3 20
2 Botafogo PB 9 6 1 2 19:8 19
3 Treze PB 9 5 3 1 18:8 18
4 Serra Branca 9 5 2 2 21:8 17
5 Campinense 9 4 2 3 14:10 14
6 EC de Patos 9 3 1 5 14:16 10
7 Pombal 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
8 Nacional PB 9 2 3 4 15:21 9
9 Auto Esporte 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
10 Picuiense 9 0 1 8 5:35 1
11 CSP 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraibano 2 (Main)